A telephone survey says that 51 percent of college students drink until they pass out at least once a month. The other 49 percent didn't answer the phone.
Everyone takes surveys. Whoever makes a statement about human behavior has engaged in a survey of some sort.
Every time I think that political analysts and writers will finally recognize that most of them don't understand much about political polls, they prove me wrong. They don't know how to read them; they don't understand the importance of cross tabs within a given poll, and they don't know how to analyze them.
I've had lots of replies, we're into the double figures now. And the overall standard is very good. In fact I've been feeling a little guilty, because I haven't replied to anyone yet - it is something I will be doing.
Like any poll, it depends on the ethnicity of the person asking the questions and the nature of the questions.
There are so many things the people who take polls never get around to asking.
Letter writing was clearly important to Reagan. Even as president he kept dashing off letters to friends, pen pals, media people, statesmen, critics, and the kind of people who write to presidents never expecting a reply.
We can assume that for every 100 people who wanted to say something to their favorite performer, maybe only ten actually got out the stationery. And of those ten, maybe only four get the letter to the mailbox. So, out of all those fans, maybe only four percent are actually sending you anything. And maybe you have read it. Or not.
When I wrote my first blog, I got one response. Now, I sometimes get as many as 400 responses for my posts.
To be honest, a lot of ride-alongs are not that great. There might be one or two calls on the radio - not a lot - depending on what time you go.
The problem is that when polls are wrong, they tend to be wrong in the same direction. If they miss in New Hampshire, for instance, they all miss on the same mistake.
At present I answer about 100 letters a month, and read 300 emails.
Our polling methodology has gotten outdated, and, in fact, it's not really telling us what it needs to be telling us.
Fund raising letters are not successful unless they elicit a favorable response.
Answering criticism that a fund raising letter he had sent out was racist and inflammatory:
I tweet, Facebook, website, but guess what? Do I look at any response? Have I ever looked at a response? I wouldn't know how to get in.
In order to create predictive algorithms, you need to have a training set. So, that training set is created through our quantitative surveys. Those surveys need to include either basic market research questions or basic political polling questions, which might be added to get your opinion on a brand or an issue or a candidate.
We did some research that showed that the very first word of your message that you send a girl - when we looked at men sending messages to women - the very first word can have a tremendous... can have a very accurate prediction of whether you're going to get a reply.
People don't care about questionnaires.
Poll results published with a clear byline for the research reflect a higher degree of confidence in the survey.
Because we're able to adjust for compatibility - and what that means is we've already normalized for how well we think each person is going to get along with the other person - the only factor left in determining response rate, really, is the aesthetic appearance of the person who sent you that message.
Advertising is utterly unprofitable, and I could prove it to you in one week. End an ad with an offer to pay five dollars to anyone who writes you that he read the ad through. The scarcity of replies will amaze you.
People respond faster to you on a text than an e-mail. Why is that? Why will they ignore an e-mail, but get back to a text?
I used to get an awful lot of letters, and they have almost all gone. I used to answer nearly all of them.
I used to send out emails to producers to collaborate and they'd give me nothing, not even a response. As soon as I started popping off, out they came!
If you are going to leave message, you have to be able to give enough value or reason to get your voice mail returned.