Robert FitzRoy Quotes

The ability to foretell what is going to happen tomorrow, next week, next month, and next year – and to have the ability afterwards to explain why it didn’t happen.

Prediction is very difficult, especially if it's about the future.

Predicting the future is very difficult. As a historian I have trouble trying to predict the past.

It's the ability to foretell what will happen tomorrow, next month, and next year --- and to explain afterward why it didn't happen.

It would be foolish, in forming our expectations, to attach great weight to matters which are very uncertain.

Predictions are hard, especially about the future.

Nobody knows the future with certainty. We can, however, identify ongoing patterns of change.

A forecasting game is a kind of simulation, a kind of scenario, a kind of teleconference, a kind of artifact from the future - and more - that enlists the participants as 'first-person forecasters.'

History shows us that people are terrible about guessing what is going to happen - next week, next month, and especially next year.

If you have to forecast, forecast often.

We want to get 80%-85% of predictions right, not 100%. Or else we calibrated our estimates in the wrong way.

The problem with predictions is that so much of the future depends on external factors.

Any prediction of the future is certainly a lie in order to sell a position.

A pinch of probability is worth a pound of perhaps.

The past and the present are within the field of my inquiry, but what a man may do in the future is a hard question to answer.

I can't predict the future.

Events alone rarely provide much guide to the future.

But I don't think I have any particular talent for prediction, because when you have three or four elements in hand, you don't have to be a genius to reach certain conclusions.

I never predict anything, and I never will.

The best of seers is he who guesses well.

The future will be determined in part by happenings that it is impossible to foresee; it will also be influenced by trends that are now existent and observable.

Many futurists use a checklist approach to make sure they're covering a sufficiently wide set of topics in terms of both research and brainstorming during a foresight exercise.

I am incredibly bad at predicting the future; I am only smart enough to observe the present and listen to my intuition about tendencies.

I'm a lousy predictor of the future.

I don't think of myself predicting things. I'm expressing possibilities. Things that could happen. To a large extent it's a question of how badly people want them to.