Richard Cincotta Quotes
As countries birth rates declined, … their likelihood of civil conflict also tended to decline.
His data was from the last three decades of the 20th century. The larger a country’s population gets, the more economic growth it takes to improve or even maintain the standard of living. If this and land and other resources are in short supply relative to the population, there is more dissatisfaction and the probability of civil conflict increases. See {621892} for a similar view.
Richard Cincotta, Demographer, National Intelligence Council, Demographic Security Comes of Age, Quoted in The Reporter, January 2011
Sourced by: Eigen's Political and Historical Quotations
See {621891} for a similar view.
In Burundi, family land is divided among the male children of a family. The average Burundian woman has 6.3 children, nearly triple the international fertility rate. With this fertility rate, the plots of land for each person inevitably get smaller and smaller over time. At 10,745 square miles, Burundi is slightly smaller than the U.S. state of Maryland, but it holds nearly twice as many people: about 10 million. The small plots of land are inefficient to farm and provide subsistence. So the nation was in a crises as there was little industrialization and land was essential for existence for most Burundians. See {35808} and {35809}.
As an example, if a woman is of childbearing age and does not pick up her regular subscription for birth control pills, the government requires that a phone call be made to the woman to “remind” her.
This was the first issue of the publication. Population shortages vexed governments as much as population surpluses.
3rd Earl Russell of Kingston
The demographics to which he referred was the low fertility rate and the large proportion of elderly.
At the time most people did not realize that the ability of a nation or land area to support a population was dependent more on agricultural and industrial productivity than on population size. In the most affluent and developed countries, land outside of the cities is quite affordable and available, whereas in poor, underdeveloped nations, land distribution and reform is still a factor. The majority of citizens of many developed, affluent nations do not own any land.
