Nate Silver Quotes
Almost everyone's instinct is to be overconfident and read way too much into a hot or cold streak.
Citations
Silver, Nate. The Signal and the Noise: Why So Many Predictions Fail - but Some Don't. Penguin Press, 2012.
Related Quotes
This is a very common error made by politicians, especially ideologues.
Nathaniel Read Silver is an American statistician and writer who analyzes baseball (see sabermetrics), basketball, and elections (see psephology). He is the founder and editor-in-chief of FiveThirtyEight and a Special Correspondent for ABC News.