overconfidence effect Quotes

Smart people believe weird things because they are skilled at defending beliefs they arrived at for non-smart reasons.

No executive devotes effort to proving himself wrong.

The human mind has an infinite capacity for self-deception.

It is our knowledge - the things we are sure of - that makes the world go wrong and keeps us from seeing and learning.

The person who imagined that he could not be the victim of propaganda because he could distinguish truth from falsehood, is extremely susceptible to propaganda, because when propaganda does tell the truth, he is then convinced that it is no longer propaganda: moreover, his self-confidence makes him all the more vulnerable to attacks of which he is unaware.

Your job as a scientist is to figure out how you're fooling yourself.

They that never peeped beyond the common belief in which their easy understandings were at first indoctrinated are strongly assured of the truth of their receptions.

False beliefs can be every bit as consoling as true ones, right up until the moment of disillusionment.

The human capacity for self-delusion is boundless, and the effects of belief are overpowering.

It is also true that the less competent a person is in a given domain, the more he will tend to overestimate his abilities. This often produces an ugly marriage of confidence and ignorance that is very difficult to correct for.